If you are in ninth
grade and live in Dover, Pennsylvania, you
are learning things in your biology class
that differ considerably from what your
peers just a few miles away are learning. In
particular, you are learning that Darwin’s
theory of evolution provides just one
possible explanation of life, and that
another is provided by something called
intelligent design. You are being taught
this not because of a recent breakthrough in
some scientist’s laboratory but because the
Dover Area School District’s board mandates
it. In October, 2004, the board decreed that
“students will be made aware of
gaps/problems in Darwin’s theory and of
other theories of evolution including, but
not limited to, intelligent design.”
While the events in Dover have received a
good deal of attention as a sign of the
political times, there has been surprisingly
little discussion of the science that’s said
to underlie the theory of intelligent
design, often called I.D. Many scientists
avoid discussing I.D. for strategic reasons.
If a scientific claim can be loosely defined
as one that scientists take seriously enough
to debate, then engaging the
intelligent-design movement on scientific
grounds, they worry, cedes what it most
desires: recognition that its claims are
legitimate scientific ones.
Meanwhile, proposals hostile to evolution
are being considered in more than twenty
states; earlier this month, a bill was
introduced into the New York State Assembly
calling for instruction in intelligent
design for all public-school students. The
Kansas State Board of Education is weighing
new standards, drafted by supporters of
intelligent design, that would encourage
schoolteachers to challenge Darwinism.
Senator Rick Santorum, a Pennsylvania
Republican, has argued that “intelligent
design is a legitimate scientific theory
that should be taught in science classes.”
An I.D.-friendly amendment that he sponsored
to the No Child Left Behind Act—requiring
public schools to help students understand
why evolution “generates so much continuing
controversy”—was overwhelmingly approved in
the Senate. (The amendment was not included
in the version of the bill that was signed
into law, but similar language did appear in
a conference report that accompanied it.) In
the past few years, college students across
the country have formed Intelligent Design
and Evolution Awareness chapters. Clearly, a
policy of limited scientific engagement has
failed. So just what is this movement?
First of all, intelligent design is not
what people often assume it is. For one
thing, I.D. is not Biblical literalism.
Unlike earlier generations of
creationists—the so-called Young Earthers
and scientific creationists—proponents of
intelligent design do not believe that the
universe was created in six days, that Earth
is ten thousand years old, or that the
fossil record was deposited during Noah’s
flood. (Indeed, they shun the label
“creationism” altogether.) Nor does I.D.
flatly reject evolution: adherents freely
admit that some evolutionary change occurred
during the history of life on Earth.
Although the movement is loosely allied
with, and heavily funded by, various
conservative Christian groups—and although
I.D. plainly maintains that life was
created—it is generally silent about the
identity of the creator.
The movement’s main positive claim is
that there are things in the world, most
notably life, that cannot be accounted for
by known natural causes and show features
that, in any other context, we would
attribute to intelligence. Living organisms
are too complex to be explained by any
natural—or, more precisely, by any
mindless—process. Instead, the design
inherent in organisms can be accounted for
only by invoking a designer, and one who is
very, very smart.
All of which puts I.D. squarely at odds
with Darwin. Darwin’s theory of evolution
was meant to show how the fantastically
complex features of organisms—eyes, beaks,
brains—could arise without the intervention
of a designing mind. According to Darwinism,
evolution largely reflects the combined
action of random mutation and natural
selection. A random mutation in an organism,
like a random change in any finely tuned
machine, is almost always bad. That’s why
you don’t, screwdriver in hand, make
arbitrary changes to the insides of your
television. But, once in a great while, a
random mutation in the DNA that makes up an
organism’s genes slightly improves the
function of some organ and thus the survival
of the organism. In a species whose eye
amounts to nothing more than a primitive
patch of light-sensitive cells, a mutation
that causes this patch to fold into a cup
shape might have a survival advantage. While
the old type of organism can tell only if
the lights are on, the new type can detect
the direction of
any source of light or shadow. Since shadows
sometimes mean predators, that can be
valuable information. The new, improved type
of organism will, therefore, be more common
in the next generation. That’s natural
selection. Repeated over billions of years,
this process of incremental improvement
should allow for the gradual emergence of
organisms that are exquisitely adapted to
their environments and that look for all the
world as though they were designed. By 1870,
about a decade after “The Origin of Species”
was published, nearly all biologists agreed
that life had evolved, and by 1940 or so
most agreed that natural selection was a key
force driving this evolution.
Advocates of intelligent design point to
two developments that in their view
undermine Darwinism. The first is the
molecular revolution in biology. Beginning
in the nineteen-fifties, molecular
biologists revealed a staggering and
unsuspected degree of complexity within the
cells that make up all life. This
complexity, I.D.’s defenders argue, lies
beyond the abilities of Darwinism to
explain. Second, they claim that new
mathematical findings cast doubt on the
power of natural selection. Selection may
play a role in evolution, but it cannot
accomplish what biologists suppose it can.
These claims have been championed by a
tireless group of writers, most of them
associated with the Center for Science and
Culture at the Discovery Institute, a
Seattle-based think tank that sponsors
projects in science, religion, and national
defense, among other areas. The center’s
fellows and advisers—including the emeritus
law professor Phillip E. Johnson, the
philosopher Stephen C. Meyer, and the
biologist Jonathan Wells—have published an
astonishing number of articles and books
that decry the ostensibly sad state of
Darwinism and extoll the virtues of the
design alternative. But Johnson, Meyer, and
Wells, while highly visible, are mainly
strategists and popularizers. The scientific
leaders of the design movement are two
scholars, one a biochemist and the other a
mathematician. To assess intelligent design
is to assess their arguments.
Michael J. Behe, a
professor of biological sciences at Lehigh
University (and a senior fellow at the
Discovery Institute), is a biochemist who
writes technical papers on the structure of
DNA. He is the most prominent of the small
circle of scientists working on intelligent
design, and his arguments are by far the
best known. His book “Darwin’s Black Box”
(1996) was a surprise best-seller and was
named by National
Review as one of the hundred best
nonfiction books of the twentieth century.
(A little calibration may be useful here;
“The Starr Report” also made the list.)
Not surprisingly, Behe’s doubts about
Darwinism begin with biochemistry. Fifty
years ago, he says, any biologist could tell
stories like the one about the eye’s
evolution. But such stories, Behe notes,
invariably began with cells, whose own
evolutionary origins were essentially left
unexplained. This was harmless enough as
long as cells weren’t qualitatively more
complex than the larger, more visible
aspects of the eye. Yet when biochemists
began to dissect the inner workings of the
cell, what they found floored them. A cell
is packed full of exceedingly complex
structures—hundreds of microscopic machines,
each performing a specific job. The “Give me
a cell and I’ll give you an eye” story told
by Darwinists, he says, began to seem
suspect: starting with a cell was starting
ninety per cent of the way to the finish
line.
Behe’s main claim is that cells are
complex not just in degree but in kind.
Cells contain structures that are
“irreducibly complex.” This means that if
you remove any single part from such a
structure, the structure no longer
functions. Behe offers a simple,
nonbiological example of an irreducibly
complex object: the mousetrap. A mousetrap
has several parts—platform, spring, catch,
hammer, and hold-down bar—and all of them
have to be in place for the trap to work. If
you remove the spring from a mousetrap, it
isn’t slightly worse at killing mice; it
doesn’t kill them at all. So, too, with the
bacterial flagellum, Behe argues. This
flagellum is a tiny propeller attached to
the back of some bacteria. Spinning at more
than twenty thousand r.p.m.s, it motors the
bacterium through its aquatic world. The
flagellum comprises roughly thirty different
proteins, all precisely arranged, and if any
one of them is removed the flagellum stops
spinning.
In “Darwin’s Black Box,” Behe maintained
that irreducible complexity presents
Darwinism with “unbridgeable chasms.” How,
after all, could a gradual process of
incremental improvement build something like
a flagellum, which needs
all its parts in
order to work? Scientists, he argued, must
face up to the fact that “many biochemical
systems cannot be built by natural selection
working on mutations.” In the end, Behe
concluded that irreducibly complex cells
arise the same way as irreducibly complex
mousetraps—someone designs them. As he put
it in a recent Times
Op-Ed piece: “If it looks, walks, and quacks
like a duck, then, absent compelling
evidence to the contrary, we have warrant to
conclude it’s a duck. Design should not be
overlooked simply because it’s so obvious.”
In “Darwin’s Black Box,” Behe speculated
that the designer might have assembled the
first cell, essentially solving the problem
of irreducible complexity, after which
evolution might well have proceeded by more
or less conventional means. Under Behe’s
brand of creationism, you might still be an
ape that evolved on the African savanna;
it’s just that your cells harbor
micro-machines engineered by an unnamed
intelligence some four billion years ago.
But Behe’s principal argument soon ran
into trouble. As biologists pointed out,
there are several different ways that
Darwinian evolution can build irreducibly
complex systems. In one, elaborate
structures may evolve for one reason and
then get co-opted for some entirely
different, irreducibly complex function. Who
says those thirty flagellar proteins weren’t
present in bacteria long before bacteria
sported flagella? They may have been
performing other jobs in the cell and only
later got drafted into flagellum-building.
Indeed, there’s now strong evidence that
several flagellar proteins once played roles
in a type of molecular pump found in the
membranes of bacterial cells.
Behe doesn’t consider this sort of
“indirect” path to irreducible complexity—in
which parts perform one function and then
switch to another—terribly plausible. And he
essentially rules out the alternative
possibility of a direct Darwinian path: a
path, that is, in which Darwinism builds an
irreducibly complex structure while
selecting all along for the same biological
function. But biologists have shown that
direct paths to irreducible complexity are
possible, too. Suppose a part gets added to
a system merely because the part improves
the system’s performance; the part is not,
at this stage, essential for function. But,
because subsequent evolution builds on this
addition, a part that was at first just
advantageous might
become essential. As this process is
repeated through evolutionary time, more and
more parts that were once merely beneficial
become necessary. This idea was first set
forth by H. J. Muller, the Nobel
Prize-winning geneticist, in 1939, but it’s
a familiar process in the development of
human technologies. We add new parts like
global-positioning systems to cars not
because they’re necessary but because
they’re nice. But no one would be surprised
if, in fifty years, computers that rely on
G.P.S. actually drove our cars. At that
point, G.P.S. would no longer be an
attractive option; it would be an essential
piece of automotive technology. It’s
important to see that this process is
thoroughly Darwinian: each change might well
be small and each represents an improvement.
Design theorists have made some
concessions to these criticisms. Behe has
confessed to “sloppy prose” and said he
hadn’t meant to imply that irreducibly
complex systems “by definition” cannot
evolve gradually. “I quite agree that my
argument against Darwinism does not add up
to a logical proof,” he says—though he
continues to believe that Darwinian paths to
irreducible complexity are exceedingly
unlikely. Behe and his followers now
emphasize that, while irreducibly complex
systems can in principle evolve, biologists
can’t reconstruct in convincing detail just
how any such system did evolve.
What counts as a sufficiently detailed
historical narrative, though, is altogether
subjective. Biologists actually know a great
deal about the evolution of biochemical
systems, irreducibly complex or not. It’s
significant, for instance, that the proteins
that typically make up the parts of these
systems are often similar to one another.
(Blood clotting—another of Behe’s examples
of irreducible complexity—involves at least
twenty proteins, several of which are
similar, and all of which are needed to make
clots, to localize or remove clots, or to
prevent the runaway clotting of all blood.)
And biologists understand why these proteins
are so similar. Each gene in an organism’s
genome encodes a particular protein.
Occasionally, the stretch of DNA that makes
up a particular gene will get accidentally
copied, yielding a genome that includes two
versions of the gene. Over many generations,
one version of the gene will often keep its
original function while the other one slowly
changes by mutation and natural selection,
picking up a new, though usually related,
function. This process of “gene duplication”
has given rise to entire families of
proteins that have similar functions; they
often act in the same biochemical pathway or
sit in the same cellular structure. There’s
no doubt that gene duplication plays an
extremely important role in the evolution of
biological complexity.
It’s true that when you confront
biologists with a particular complex
structure like the flagellum they sometimes
have a hard time saying which part appeared
before which other parts. But then it can be
hard, with any complex historical process,
to reconstruct the exact order in which
events occurred, especially when, as in
evolution, the addition of new parts
encourages the modification of old ones.
When you’re looking at a bustling urban
street, for example, you probably can’t tell
which shop went into business first. This is
partly because many businesses now depend on
each other and partly because new shops
trigger changes in old ones (the new sushi
place draws twenty-somethings who demand
wireless Internet at the café next door).
But it would be a little rash to conclude
that all the shops must have begun business
on the same day or that some Unseen Urban
Planner had carefully determined just which
business went where.
The other leading
theorist of the new creationism, William A.
Dembski, holds a Ph.D. in mathematics,
another in philosophy, and a master of
divinity in theology. He has been a research
professor in the conceptual foundations of
science at Baylor University, and was
recently appointed to the new Center for
Science and Theology at Southern Baptist
Theological Seminary. (He is a longtime
senior fellow at the Discovery Institute as
well.) Dembski publishes at a staggering
pace. His books—including “The Design
Inference,” “Intelligent Design,” “No Free
Lunch,” and “The Design Revolution”—are
generally well written and packed with
provocative ideas.
According to Dembski, a complex object
must be the result of intelligence if it was
the product neither of chance nor of
necessity. The novel “Moby Dick,” for
example, didn’t arise by chance (Melville
didn’t scribble random letters), and it
wasn’t the necessary consequence of a
physical law (unlike, say, the fall of an
apple). It was, instead, the result of
Melville’s intelligence. Dembski argues that
there is a reliable way to recognize such
products of intelligence in the natural
world. We can conclude that an object was
intelligently designed, he says, if it shows
“specified complexity”—complexity that
matches an “independently given pattern.”
The sequence of letters “jkxvcjudoplvm”
is certainly complex: if you randomly type
thirteen letters, you are very unlikely to
arrive at this particular sequence. But it
isn’t specified:
it doesn’t match any independently given
sequence of letters. If, on the other hand,
I ask you for the first sentence of “Moby
Dick” and you type the letters “callmeishmael,”
you have produced something that is both
complex and specified. The sequence you
typed is unlikely to arise by chance alone,
and it matches an independent target
sequence (the one written by Melville).
Dembski argues that specified complexity,
when expressed mathematically, provides an
unmistakable signature of intelligence.
Things like “callmeishmael,”
he points out, just don’t arise in the real
world without acts of intelligence. If
organisms show specified complexity,
therefore, we can conclude that they are the
handiwork of an intelligent agent.
For Dembski, it’s telling that the
sophisticated machines we find in organisms
match up in astonishingly precise ways with
recognizable human technologies. The eye,
for example, has a familiar, cameralike
design, with recognizable parts—a pinhole
opening for light, a lens, and a surface on
which to project an image—all arranged just
as a human engineer would arrange them. And
the flagellum has a motor design, one that
features recognizable O-rings, a rotor, and
a drive shaft. Specified complexity, he
says, is there for all to see.
Dembski’s second major claim is that
certain mathematical results cast doubt on
Darwinism at the most basic conceptual
level. In 2002, he focussed on so-called No
Free Lunch, or N.F.L., theorems, which were
derived in the late nineties by the
physicists David H. Wolpert and William G.
Macready. These theorems relate to the
efficiency of different “search algorithms.”
Consider a search for high ground on some
unfamiliar, hilly terrain. You’re on foot
and it’s a moonless night; you’ve got two
hours to reach the highest place you can.
How to proceed? One sensible search
algorithm might say, “Walk uphill in the
steepest possible direction; if no direction
uphill is available, take a couple of steps
to the left and try again.” This algorithm
insures that you’re generally moving upward.
Another search algorithm—a so-called blind
search algorithm—might say, “Walk in a
random direction.” This would sometimes take
you uphill but sometimes down. Roughly, the
N.F.L. theorems prove the surprising fact
that, averaged over all possible terrains,
no search algorithm is better than any
other. In some landscapes, moving uphill
gets you to higher ground in the allotted
time, while in other landscapes moving
randomly does, but on average neither
outperforms the other.
Now, Darwinism can be thought of as a
search algorithm. Given a problem—adapting
to a new disease, for instance—a population
uses the Darwinian algorithm of random
mutation plus natural selection to search
for a solution (in this case, disease
resistance). But, according to Dembski, the
N.F.L. theorems prove that this Darwinian
algorithm is no better than any other when
confronting all possible problems. It
follows that, over all, Darwinism is no
better than blind search, a process of
utterly random change unaided by any guiding
force like natural selection. Since we don’t
expect blind change to build elaborate
machines showing an exquisite coördination
of parts, we have no right to expect
Darwinism to do so, either. Attempts to
sidestep this problem by, say, carefully
constraining the class of challenges faced
by organisms inevitably involve sneaking in
the very kind of order that we’re trying to
explain—something Dembski calls the
displacement problem. In the end, he argues,
the N.F.L. theorems and the displacement
problem mean that there’s only one plausible
source for the design we find in organisms:
intelligence. Although Dembski is somewhat
noncommittal, he seems to favor a design
theory in which an intelligent agent
programmed design into early life, or even
into the early universe. This design then
unfolded through the long course of
evolutionary time, as microbes slowly
morphed into man.
Dembski’s arguments have been met with
tremendous enthusiasm in the I.D. movement.
In part, that’s because an innumerate public
is easily impressed by a bit of mathematics.
Also, when Dembski is wielding his
equations, he gets to play the part of the
hard scientist busily correcting the errors
of those soft-headed biologists.
(Evolutionary biology actually features an
extraordinarily sophisticated body of
mathematical theory, a fact not widely known
because neither of evolution’s great
popularizers—Richard Dawkins and the late
Stephen Jay Gould—did much math.) Despite
all the attention, Dembski’s mathematical
claims about design and Darwin are almost
entirely beside the point.
The most serious problem in Dembski’s
account involves specified complexity.
Organisms aren’t trying to match any
“independently given pattern”: evolution has
no goal, and the history of life isn’t
trying to get anywhere. If building a
sophisticated structure like an eye
increases the number of children produced,
evolution may well build an eye. But if
destroying a sophisticated structure like
the eye increases the number of children
produced, evolution will just as happily
destroy the eye. Species of fish and
crustaceans that have moved into the total
darkness of caves, where eyes are both
unnecessary and costly, often have
degenerate eyes, or eyes that begin to form
only to be covered by skin—crazy
contraptions that no intelligent agent would
design. Despite all the loose talk about
design and machines, organisms aren’t
striving to realize some engineer’s
blueprint; they’re striving (if they can be
said to strive at all) only to have more
offspring than the next fellow.
Another problem with Dembski’s arguments
concerns the N.F.L. theorems. Recent work
shows that these theorems don’t hold in the
case of co-evolution, when two or more
species evolve in response to one another.
And most evolution is surely co-evolution.
Organisms do not spend most of their time
adapting to rocks; they are perpetually
challenged by, and adapting to, a rapidly
changing suite of viruses, parasites,
predators, and prey. A theorem that doesn’t
apply to these situations is a theorem whose
relevance to biology is unclear. As it
happens, David Wolpert, one of the authors
of the N.F.L. theorems, recently denounced
Dembski’s use of those theorems as “fatally
informal and imprecise.” Dembski’s apparent
response has been a tactical retreat. In
2002, Dembski triumphantly proclaimed, “The
No Free Lunch theorems dash any hope of
generating specified complexity via
evolutionary algorithms.” Now he says, “I
certainly never argued that the N.F.L.
theorems provide a direct refutation of
Darwinism.”
Those of us who have argued with I.D. in
the past are used to such shifts of
emphasis. But it’s striking that Dembski’s
views on the history of life contradict
Behe’s. Dembski believes that Darwinism is
incapable of building anything interesting;
Behe seems to believe that, given a cell,
Darwinism might well have built you and me.
Although proponents of I.D. routinely
inflate the significance of minor squabbles
among evolutionary biologists (did the
peppered moth evolve dark color as a defense
against birds or for other reasons?), they
seldom acknowledge their own, often major
differences of opinion. In the end, it’s
hard to view intelligent design as a
coherent movement in any but a political
sense.
It’s also hard to view it as a real
research program. Though people often
picture science as a collection of clever
theories, scientists are generally staunch
pragmatists: to scientists, a good theory is
one that inspires new experiments and
provides unexpected insights into familiar
phenomena. By this standard, Darwinism is
one of the best theories in the history of
science: it has produced countless important
experiments (let’s re-create a natural
species in the lab—yes, that’s been done)
and sudden insight into once puzzling
patterns (that’s
why there are no native land mammals on
oceanic islands). In the nearly ten years
since the publication of Behe’s book, by
contrast, I.D. has inspired no nontrivial
experiments and has provided no surprising
insights into biology. As the years pass,
intelligent design looks less and less like
the science it claimed to be and more and
more like an extended exercise in polemics.
In 1999, a document
from the Discovery Institute was posted,
anonymously, on the Internet. This Wedge
Document, as it came to be called, described
not only the institute’s long-term goals but
its strategies for accomplishing them. The
document begins by labelling the idea that
human beings are created in the image of God
“one of the bedrock principles on which
Western civilization was built.” It goes on
to decry the catastrophic legacy of Darwin,
Marx, and Freud—the alleged fathers of a
“materialistic conception of reality” that
eventually “infected virtually every area of
our culture.” The mission of the Discovery
Institute’s scientific wing is then spelled
out: “nothing less than the overthrow of
materialism and its cultural legacies.” It
seems fair to conclude that the Discovery
Institute has set its sights a bit higher
than, say, reconstructing the origins of the
bacterial flagellum.
The intelligent-design community is
usually far more circumspect in its
pronouncements. This is not to say that it
eschews discussion of religion; indeed, the
intelligent-design literature regularly
insists that Darwinism represents a thinly
veiled attempt to foist a secular
religion—godless materialism—on Western
culture. As it happens, the idea that
Darwinism is yoked to atheism, though
popular, is also wrong. Of the five founding
fathers of twentieth-century evolutionary
biology—Ronald Fisher, Sewall Wright, J. B.
S. Haldane, Ernst Mayr, and Theodosius
Dobzhansky—one was a devout Anglican who
preached sermons and published articles in
church magazines, one a practicing
Unitarian, one a dabbler in Eastern
mysticism, one an apparent atheist, and one
a member of the Russian Orthodox Church and
the author of a book on religion and
science. Pope John Paul II himself
acknowledged, in a 1996 address to the
Pontifical Academy of Sciences, that new
research “leads to the recognition of the
theory of evolution as more than a
hypothesis.” Whatever larger conclusions one
thinks should
follow from Darwinism, the historical fact
is that evolution and religion have often
coexisted. As the philosopher Michael Ruse
observes, “It is simply not the case that
people take up evolution in the morning, and
become atheists as an encore in the
afternoon.”
Biologists aren’t alarmed by intelligent
design’s arrival in Dover and elsewhere
because they have all sworn allegiance to
atheistic materialism; they’re alarmed
because intelligent design is junk science.
Meanwhile, more than eighty per cent of
Americans say that God either created human
beings in their present form or guided their
development. As a succession of
intelligent-design proponents appeared
before the Kansas State Board of Education
earlier this month, it was possible to
wonder whether the movement’s scientific
coherence was beside the point. Intelligent
design has come this far by faith.